Morte inflatius?

colleseum

Dateline – March 28, 2020

Here’s the most commonly asked question these days – What the hell is actually going on in Italy?

WTF is the alternative question when it comes to sorting out good news from bad news, real news from fake news, and truth from fear.

Italy has set itself up as the #1 hotspot for Covid19. When I say “set itself up” I actually mean that.

To listen to MSM reports it sounds like everyone in Italy is going to eventually die.

As of today, 10,779 have reportedly died of Coronvirus there.

HOLD THE PRESSES!!

Italian, Walter Ricciardi, who is the scientific adviser to Roberto Speranza, Italy’s minister of health, says the country’s mortality rate is far higher due to demographics – the nation has the second-oldest population worldwide after Japan – and the manner in which hospitals record deaths.

“The age of our patients in hospitals is substantially older – the median is 67, while in China it was 46,” Prof Ricciardi says.

“On re-evaluation by the National Institute of Health, only 12 per cent of death certificates have shown a direct causality from coronavirus, while 88 per cent of patients who have died have at least one pre-morbidity – many had two or three,” he says. Source

Okay, let’s readjust the math – 10,779 X .12 = 1,294 direct causality (33/day over 40 days). Out of the 92,472 cases reported in Italy, that gives a Case Fatality Rate of 1.3%…which is more in line with other countries.

BUT, since we know the virus kills more older people, lets take into consideration that Italians, on average, live an extra 3 years longer. There are about 1300 Italians that die each day, on a regular day. If we assume mathematically that 650 of them are thus over the average age, then the question becomes how many of the 33 per day would have likely died anyways? Half? More?

The real number is clearly unclear…

However, what is clear is that the constant over-exaggeration of the deaths in Italy has cause unnecessary fear worldwide. That fear has led to such social media postings as this one on March 28th:

In a matter of days with extensive testing, the US has reached 116k infected. They are on pace for 20k new cases today. Maybe more.

Almost 10,000 dead Italy so far and they are still adding roughly 10k cases per day.

51 of the frontline doctors in Italy are dead. Imagine removing 51 doctors from the populace? That would effect communities everywhere. Doctors aren’t old people with pre existing conditions for the most part either, are they?

Still got some doubters out there?

It boggles the mind that this is even happening, let alone that people deny it is.

Sorry for the gloomy post, but I hope you doubters can start to see…

 

Dissecting this post, piece by piece we find:

1. In a matter of days with extensive testing, the US has reached 116k infected. They are on pace for 20k new cases today. Maybe more.

True, BUT, today there are only 15,639 new cases, or about 25% less than the poster’s projections. AND, there is a significant reduction in the increased numbers of deaths. Those increased cases are the result of 50-80,000 tests a day over the past week, with less than 10% being tested as positive.

2. Almost 10,000 dead Italy so far and they are still adding roughly 10k cases per day.

True, BUT, there are only 5, 217 new cases today, about 50% less than the poster’s projection. The increased number of newly reported dead to dead, is dropping significantly in Italy and around the world.

3. 51 of the frontline doctors in Italy are dead. Imagine removing 51 doctors from the populace? That would effect communities everywhere.

True, 51 doctors were reported to have died in Italy, BUT, in examining the list, there are a number of unknown factors in play, not the least of which the average age of the doctors who died was nearly 70 (see data at bottom of this article).

Forty of the fifty dead doctors were 65 or older…the oldest was 94… The reporting agency did not make it clear how they had died, whether they were patients (not acting physicians) in hospital dying from something, or whether they were retired. In other words we don’t know whether the list was just a memorial list of some of the doctors who have died since the beginning of February.

Statistically, about 20 of the 1300 people who die each day are aging doctors/dentists/psychiatrists/etc.

There is only ONE of the doctors (a general practioner) listed as having come out of retirement to assist.

4. Doctors aren’t old people with pre existing conditions for the most part either, are they?

Well, according to the report, evidently they are.

One-half of all Italian doctors smoke. Smoking has been linked by WHO to a higher incidence of complications from Covid19. Italy has high rates of COPD, linked to smoking.

5. Still got some doubters out there? It boggles the mind that this is even happening, let alone that people deny it is. Sorry for the gloomy post, but I hope you doubters can start to see…

Well, if actually looking at, researching and digging out statistics and truths make me a “doubter,” that things aren’t as “gloomy” as they seem, then colour me a “doubter.” That is a different colour than a cynic.

However, I believe that to expose the fact a virus is nowhere near as deadly as it is made out to be is doing a service, not a disservice.

Doing a disservice is not only echoing false reports, but, shaming people who question those false reports by reporting facts.

For a detailed interview on the Italian issue, click here.

The 50 Italian doctors’ ages at death:

Born Age
1971 49
1965 55
1963 57
1960 60
1958 62
1957 63
1957 63
1957 63
1956 64
1956 64
1955 65
1955 65
1955 65
1954 66
1954 66
1954 66
1954 66
1954 66
1953 67
1953 67
1953 67
1952 68
1951 69
1951 69
1951 69
1951 69
1951 69
1950 70
1950 70
1950 70
1949 71
1949 71
1949 71
1949 71
1947 73
1947 73
1946 74
1946 74
1946 74
1946 74
1946 74
1945 75
1945 75
1944 76
1940 80
1940 80
1938 82
1933 87
1930 90
1926 94

Average 69.76

Roberto Stella 22 07 1952 † 11 03 2020
President of the Varese Medical Association, Head of Strategic Training Area FNOMCeO, National President of SNAMID – Varese
Giuseppe Lanati 24 08 1946 † 12 03 2020
Pulmonologist – Como
Giuseppe Borghi 19 01 1956 † 13 03 2020
General Practitioner – Lodi
Raffaele Jura 23 10 1940 † 13 03 2020
Former head of the Pneumology department – Como
Carlo Zavaritt 23 02 1940 † 13 03 2020
Pediatrician and child neuropsychiatrist – Bergamo
Gino Fasoli 09 12 1946 † 14 03 2020
General practitioner already retired called for the Covid-19 emergency – Brescia
Luigi Frusciante 13 02 1949 † 15 03 2020
General Practitioner – Como
Mario Giovita 27 04 1954 † 16 03 2020
General Practitioner – Bergamo
Luigi Ablondi 05 02 1954 † 16 03 2020
Epidemiologist, former general manager of the Crema – Cremona Hospital
Franco Galli 28 03 1954 † 17 03 2020
General Practitioner – Mantua
Ivano Vezzulli 27 12 1958 † 17 03 2020
General Practitioner and Sports Physician – Lodi
Massimo Borghese 12 03 1957 † 18 03 2020
Specialist in Otolaryngology and Phoniatrics – Naples
Marcello Natali 13 09 1963 † 18 03 2020
General practitioner, secretary of the Federation of general practitioners of Lodi – Lodi
Antonino Buttafuoco 14 06 1953 † 18 03 2020
General Practitioner – Bergamo
Giuseppe Finzi 21 04 1957 † 19 03 2020
Hematologist and contract professor of vascular diseases at the University of Parma – Parma
Francesco Foltrani 08 02 1953 † 19 03 2020
General Practitioner – Macerata
Andrea Carli 02 05 1950 † 19 03 2020
General Practitioner – Lodi
Bruna Galavotti 03 04 1933 † 19 03 2020 (reporting date)
Psychiatrist, Dean of the Bergamo Women’s Medical Association – Bergamo
Piero Lucarelli 14 01 1946 † 19 03 2020 (reporting date)
Anesthesiologist – Bergamo
Vincenzo Leone 23 01 1955 † 21 03 2020
General practitioner, vice president of SNAMI – Bergamo
Antonio Buonomo 14 01 1955 † 21 03 2020
Forensic doctor – Naples
Leonardo Marchi 01 01 1956 † 21 03 2020
Infectious doctor, medical director of the San Camillo Nursing Home – Cremona
Manfredo Squeri 06 01 1944 † 23 03 2020
Former hospital doctor, currently head of the department of Medicine in the Nursing Home Piccole Figlie di Parma affiliated with SSN – Parma
Rosario Lupo 02 10 1955 † 23 03 2020
Forensic doctor – Bergamo
Domenico De Gilio 09 11 1953 † 19 03 2020
General practitioner – Lecco
Calogero Giabbarrasi 28 09 1951 † 24 03 2020
General practitioner – Caltanissetta
Renzo Granata 28 09 1951 † 23 03 2020
General practitioner – Alessandria
Ivano Garzena 07 10 1971 † 23 03 2020
Dentist – Turin
Ivan Mauri 30 09 1950 † 24 03 2020
General practitioner – Lecco
Gaetano Author 12 12 1951 † 25 03 2020
General practitioner – Naples
Vincenza Amato 22 05 1954 † 24 03 2020
Chief Medical Officer U.O.S. Public Health Hygiene of the Department of Hygiene and Health Prevention – Bergamo
Gabriele Lombardi 20 08 1951 † 18 03 2020
Dentist – Brescia
Mario Calonghi 14 03 1965 † 22 03 2020
Dentist – Brescia
Marino Chiodi 30 05 1949 † 22 03 2020
Ophthalmologist – Bergamo
Carlo Alberto Passera 20 05 1957 † 25 03 2020
General practitioner – Bergamo
Francesco De Francesco 09 03 1938 † 23 03 2020
Retired, former hospital doctor, sculptor and painter – Bergamo
Antonio Maghernino 14 09 1960 † 25 03 2020
Continuity care doctor – Foggia
Flavio Roncoli 08 05 1930 † 03 2020
Pensioner – Bergamo
Marco Lera 30 10 1951 † 20 03 2020
Dentist – Lucca
Giulio Titta 23 02 1947 † 26 03 2020
General practitioner, ex-secretary of FIMMG – Turin
Benedetto Comotti, 06 05 1945 † 26 03 2020
Hematologist – Bergamo
Anna Maria Focarete 22 06 1950 † 27 03 2020
Provincial Councilor FIMMG, President of SIMG and former councilor of the Order Prov. of the Medici – Lecco
Dino Pesce 16 01 1946 † 26 03 2020
Internist physician, for 20 years primary physician of the general medicine finding of the Villa Scassi hospital in Sampierdarena – Genoa
Giulio Calvi 19 10 1947 † 26 03 2020
General practitioner – Bergamo
Marcello Ugolini 01 05 1949 † 27 03 2020
Pulmonologist, councilor of the Medical Association – Pesaro Urbino
Abdel Sattar Airoud 23 06 1945 † 16 03 2020
General practitioner – Piacenza
Giuseppe Maini 24 01 1946 † 12 03 2020
General practitioner – Piacenza
Luigi Rocca 24 12 1926 † 26 03 2020
Pediatrician – Piacenza
Maurizio Galderisi 31 08 1954 † 27 03 2020
Cardiologist and professor of Internal Medicine at the Federico II University of Naples – Naples
Leone Marco Wischkin 23 03 1949 † 27 03 2020 (reporting date)
Internist Doctor – Pesaro Urbino

 

 

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