CO2 – Real world v Model world

So, which world do you live in?

The model world, which blames man for huge CO2 emissions?

Or, do you live in the real world, where natural emissions dwarf man’s contribution to atmospheric CO2?

Model world (NASA computer of estimated CO2 emissions):

Global CO2 Model

Real world (Actual satellite observation):

Global CO2 Satellite

Note the massive, natural emissions in the Amazon, tropical Africa and Southeast Asia.

Temperature drives CO2 emissions…the sun and natural variations and cycles drive temperature…both up, and down…

Observation is the key to science…

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Salby Response to MC

January 2015 Salby

A Penny For Your Thoughts

There is an old Chinese curse – “May you live in interesting times.”

As I was sitting back and watching the global banking meltdown of 2008, I was reminded of the “interest-ing” riddle/parable of “Joseph’s Penny,” which clearly indicates why the US is now dealing in the trillions of dollars of debt, and, has no way out of complete financial collapse (or the more likely – complete economic reorganization) within the next decade.

The riddle goes like this – If at the time of the birth of Christ, Joseph had invested one penny in a bank, and the bank had given him an annual interest rate return of 5%, how much would be in the account if Jesus returned today to check on the account?

Any idea?

Think big…astronomically big.

By now that solitary penny would have earned $45,087,798,213,371,300,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 (US Dollars)…. the equivalent of 196,001,952,916 solid balls of 0.999 gold, each weighing as much as the mass of the planet earth.

Take a moment (or an hour) to fully understand that last sentence – the dollar amount is 45,000 trillion, trillion, trillion dollars or about nearly 200 billion planets of solid .999 gold, the size of the Earth. (calculated at $1195 per ounce – December 21, 2014 price).

Now isn’t that the best example of the magic of compound interest we were all taught in school?

To further stretch your imagination, since the Earth has a width of 8,000 miles, imagine a trail of gold balls stretching 1,568,015,623,329,220 miles out into the universe…that’s a cool 266.73 light years!

This means if you left the Earth now, and traveled at the speed of light, it is now theoretically impossible to travel from here to the end of that trail of gold, since the number of golden planets, and therefore distance, is now increasing faster than the speed of light.

Being a bit of a skeptic, when I first heard the story, I didn’t/couldn’t believe the amounts, so, I prepared an Excel spreadsheet, which confirmed them.

In examining the exponential growth rate of one penny at 5% compounded interest, I noticed that during the first 100 years one cent grew only to $1.25. By 200 AD, it had grown to $164.69. But, by the 300th year, it showed over a 2 million times increase over the original investment of a penny – $21,657.10

It was at that point I finally understood why any monetary system that has an “interest” component attached to it is doomed to eventual collapse. I also immediately understood why many religions consider the charging of interest a damnable sin – Islam, Judaism, and, for centuries, Christianity. That was just before the banking industry was formed and I suspect, church leaders of the day were persuaded they could perhaps increase the wealth of their coffers by simply saying the charging interest is now approved, as long as you include the new slogan – In God We Trust, as is on the back of the US dollar.

Now, instead of a penny collecting interest, imagine millions, and billions and trillions of dollars collecting 5, 10 or 15% interest per year. Just how long do you think it would take for the temples of the money lenders to come tumbling down by themselves, without the helping hand of Jesus? And, just how long has our current economic system been in play? A few hundred years, at best.

Yes, the “den of thieves” is now shaking at its foundations, and, while the baling wire bail-out may have stilled the economic waters for the time being, the global devaluation of the US dollar has now begun in full force.

Some people predict Jesus will return “like a thief in the night.” That makes me kind of wonder if he’s planning on closing out his US banking account. Regardless, one matter you can certainly trust is the interesting mathematics of this penny for your thoughts.

Copyright 2014 Eric Booth

Liberal v Conservative finstats

Liberal v Conservative

RAR Mapping – for Public Hearing

Check to see if your property is going to be regulated by the proposed RAR mapping. Here’s a link to the proposed RAR Mapping of Salt Spring to be considered at the Public Hearing, Tuesday, November 4, 2014 at Lion’s Club, 7:00 PM. – Map 28 Proposed RAR map

Skeptical Science? Ocean Alkalinity or Ocean Acidity?

Salt Spring Governance in a “Nutshell”

Confused about current Salt Spring Governance? Wonder what would change under a municipal structure? Are your eyes glazing over already? If so, don’t worry. You’re in good company with the majority of islanders who have never taken the time to understand the “unique,” and rather absurd, way we are governed.

Let me start with a simple analogous story. Everyone knows a municipality has a mayor and council, right? Usually there is a total of 7 elected councilors which include the mayor.

Now, imagine the following conversation taking place at a council meeting in a town in Ontario, let’s call it Smartville, just after the mayor has just returned from a two week summer vacation on Salt Spring Island:

Mayor – “My fellow councilors, I have recently visited Salt Spring Island in BC, where I studied their unique form of governance. It is quite unlike anything I have ever seen or heard about. They are in the middle of deciding whether or not they want to become a municipality like ours. I met with, and have been convinced by, a few of the island’s anti-incorporationists, that we here in Smartville should do what Salt Spring did back in the late 1800’s – “dis-incorporate.””

Councilor #1 – “You mean stop being a municipality?”

Mayor – “That’s right.”

Councilor #2 – “But how would that benefit our community?”

Mayor – “Well you see, if we disincorporated we would first take our current land use planning department and turn it into an independent, separate, land use planning authority, and call it…say…the ‘Lands Trust,’ which would take care of things like property zoning and development permits. But, rather than us making all the decisions as to what we can do within our community, we will get 12 other surrounding communities to commit to forming a kind of “Lands Trust Super-Council,” made up of a total of 26 members – two elected representatives from each of the other communities and two from ours. The Land Trust Super-Council will then collectively decide how much money should be spent on our land use planning each year.”

Councilor #3 – “Are you saying you want people from other communities to decide what is in our best interests? That’s kind of crazy….”

Mayor – “…Now, I know it sounds a little different, but wait til you hear the rest and I’m sure it will start to make sense. While members of the Land Trust Super-Council may not really know anything about our community they provide a broader, more objective…a more…global perspective on what should happen with our community’s land. And, to ensure that the other communities’ visions of what should happen in our community are protected, we will form a three person “Local Land Trust Committee” which will be comprised of two Trustees elected from our community and one Trustee who will be the Chair of the Committee, elected from another community.”

Councilor #4 – “Who gets to choose the Chairperson?”

Mayor – “The Land Trust Super-Council” does.”

Councilor #5 – “And what happens if there is a split vote on a land use issue between our two locally elected Trustees?”

Mayor – “In the case of a split vote the Chair casts the deciding ballot.”

Councilor #6 – “So, someone who doesn’t live in our community…someone who wasn’t elected by our community gets to make the final decision on important land use issues in our community?”

Mayor – “That’s right.”

Councilor #1 – “But that’s hardly democratic. I mean, it’s kind of like turning back time and having a governor appointed by Britain rule a colony. What happens if one or two of the councilors have a conflict of interest in a matter, and excuse themselves from discussing or voting on a matter?”

Mayor – “Well then, the Chair makes application to the Supreme Court of Ontario for the Court to decide the matter.”

Councilor #2 – “You’re kidding….right? The Provincial Supreme Court then gets to decide our land use planning?…”

Mayor – “Can’t ask for a more fair and objective view than the Supreme Court can you?”

Councilor #3 (holding his head in his hands) – “OK…so…and I hesitate to ask this…wouldn’t the creation of an independent authority, like what you’re suggesting, mean you would have to have separate staffing and offices?”

Mayor – “That’s part of the overall strategy. Decentralization!  A separate office would be rented for the Land Trust, and, we would have the Super-Council select staff members to run it. All staffing changes would be run through the Chief Administrative Officer’s office located likely in Toronto.”

Councilor #3 (head sinking a little lower) – “But wouldn’t that cost considerably more and be considerably less efficient than keeping our land use planning together with the rest of our services – like our water and sewer management, our fire department, library, parks, bylaw enforcement, transportation needs, etc.?”

Mayor – “I was just getting to those other things…you see, we will create separate agencies for each of those entities too.”

(Councilor #3’s head hits table)

Councilor #4 (while looking sideways at Councilor #3) – “But Mayor, surely you’re not suggesting we split the entire municipal services up into separate functions, each with their own separate offices and staff?”

Mayor – “Actually that’s exactly what I’m suggesting…(audible groans are heard around the table)…Here’s the plan…we next take our current water department and split it into 10 geographical areas and then establish four Water District Boards, each with 5 board members to oversee their operations.”

Councilor #4 – “Four Water Districts….each with its own five member Board?…”

Mayor – “Right. They each get their own office if they want, and can choose their own staff. Then we do the same with the two sewered areas of Smartville and create two Sewer Commissions each with 5 Commissioners…(sensing unrest at the table, the Mayor decides he best quickly explain the rest of his master plan)…and then we create the “Smartville Liquid Waste Disposal Committee,” the “Smartville Sewage and Collection Committee,” three “Smartville Bylaw Enforcement Departments,” the “Smartville Building Inspection Department,” the “Smartville Parks and Recreation Commission,” the “Smartville Transportation Commission,” and the “Smartville Emergency Preparedness Group.”

Councilor #5 – “…each with their own management, office, board, staff, letterhead or whatever? And that’s your plan?”

Mayor – “Ooops…Forgot to mention the fire and police departments….and the library. (eyes looking up for guidance)… I think that’s all…”

Councilor #6 – “So basically you’re suggesting we just split up every one of those services and functions which the municipality, through this council, currently has control over, and, which, the last time I looked were running pretty smoothly, and create a dozen or so mini-bureaucratic empires….that’s the concept?”

Mayor – “Like I said…that’s the beauty of it….it’s a “unique” form of governance.”

Councilor #3 (head rising from the table) – “What a brilliant idea! I would like to formally support the Mayor’s concept and starting formal debate on his vision by proposing a name change to our community.”

Mayor – “A name change??”

Councilor #3 – “Yes. I hereby move that we officially rename Smartville to Dumbville. Do I have a second?”

Mayor – “Surely you’re jesting Councilor.”

Councilor #3 – “Ahhhh….you caught me, Mayor…I hereby withdraw my motion….and instead…I move we remove the Mayor from office.”

Mayor – (looking shocked) “On what grounds!!”

Councilor #3 – “Evidently smoking too much pot when you were on Salt Spring for a start. How could anyone seriously believe that a fractionalized form of governance, such as you have just suggested, would be less expensive, more efficient or more democratic than our current, everything under one umbrella, form of governance with 7 duly elected representatives? “Unique” yes, but sensible?…not in a million years to anyone with common sense. Do I have a second to my motion?”

Councilor #1 (beating three other councilors whose lips had already begun to move) – “I second the motion.”

Councilor #3 – “All in favour?”

(hands shoot up around the table…ending this chapter of the Mayor’s political career)

So, back to reality….let me ask you this -“Would you have voted to keep the Mayor of Smartville?”

Well, the scenario I’ve just laid out pretty much spells out how our governance system on Salt Spring is currently set up.

Below is a list of the services, functions, departments, commissions, boards, districts, committees, etc. which currently make up our “unique” form of governance.

Each and every one of these would become the responsibility of the Island Municipality of Salt Spring Island. I’ve provided hyper links to the relevant sites. Take a moment and look over the list and click on a few links. Once you’ve got a clear picture of what our current governance structures are, imagine them all under one roof and then ask yourself which scenario makes more sense. I did my analysis back in 2001. I trust your analysis will yield a similar result.

And that’s the Salt Spring Civics 101 lesson for today. I’m fairly confident you will get a passing grade…even if you’ve just smoked some of Salt Spring’s finest….and hey…the best news is we get to keep our community’s great name.

Functions and Services to be Transferred to Island Municipality

Capital Regional District Functions

  1. Water systems
    1. Fernwood
    2. Highland
    3. Beddis
    4. Cedar Lane
    5. Cedars of Tuam
    6. Fulford
  2. Sewer systems
    1. Maliview Estates sewage system (Highland Water and Sewer Local Services Commission)
    2. Ganges sewerage (Ganges Sewer Commission)
    3. Liquid waste disposal (septage – Salt Spring Island Liquid Waste Disposal Local Service Commission)
    4. Sewage collection and disposal
  3. Bylaw Enforcement
    1. Unsightly premises bylaw
    2. Noise control bylaw
    3. Animal control bylaw
    4. Clean Air Regulation
    5. Composting Facilities Regulation
    6. SSI Transfer Station Regulation
  4. Building inspection/Numbering of buildings
    1. Building Regulation Bylaw
  5. Parks and Recreation Commission – facilities/programs
  6. Transportation Commission
    1. Pathways and sidewalk planning
    2. Bus service planning
    3. Parking
  7. Library funding
  8. Salt Spring emergency programs
    1. Preparedness Kit Information
    2. Salt Spring Search and Rescue
    3. SSI Emergency Program Advisory Commission
  9. Stormwater quality management
  10. Fernwood Dock Management Commission
  11. Union of BC Municipalities membership
  12. Elections
  13. Community Economic Development Commission

Islands Trust Functions

  1. Local planning work
  2. Soil removal and deposit bylaws
  3. Local land use bylaw and Official community plan bylaw
  4. Subdivision referrals from Approving Officer
  5. Advisory Planning Commission
  6. Ticketing Bylaw
  7. Bylaw enforcement

Water Districts

  1. North Salt Spring Waterworks
  2. Scott Point
  3. Mt. Belcher
  4. Harbour View

 

Fire

  1. 1.       Salt Spring Fire District
    1. a.      Fire Protection
    2. b.      Fire education and safety

 

Provincial Functions

  1. Subdivision approval authority
  2. RCMP services – 70% of funding
  3. Roads
    1. Ownership transferred to Municipality
    2. Maintenance
    3. Signage
    4. Width of new roads
    5. Sidewalk/pathway permitting
    6. Accesses
  4. Property tax